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Indian Oil Corporation Ltd logo

Indian Oil Corporation Ltd

NSE: IOC BSE: 530965

175.20

(-0.32)%

Sun, 08 Feb 2026, 11:58 pm

Analysis

dividend

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Pros

  • Dividends per share have increased over the past 10 years.
  • Dividends paid are well covered by earnings (2.7x coverage).
  • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be well covered by earnings (2.1x coverage).
  • Indian Oil's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in India (0.76%).
  • Indian Oil's dividend is above the markets top 25% of dividend payers in India (3.08%).
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Cons

  • Dividends per share have been volatile in the past 10 years (annual drop of over 20%).

future

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Pros

  • Indian Oil's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.
  • Indian Oil's earnings growth is expected to exceed the India market average.
  • Indian Oil's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 7.2%.
  • Performance (ROE) is expected to be above the current IN Oil and Gas industry average.
  • An improvement in Indian Oil's performance (ROE) is expected over the next 3 years.
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Cons

  • Cash flow for Indian Oil is expected to increase but not above the 50% threshold in 2 years time.
  • Indian Oil's earnings are expected to decrease over the next year.
  • Indian Oil's net income is expected to increase but not above the 50% threshold in 2 years time.
  • Indian Oil is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • Indian Oil's revenue is expected to decrease over the next 2 years.
  • Indian Oil's revenue is expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
  • Indian Oil's revenues are expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is below the India market average.

health

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Pros

  • Indian Oil is profitable, therefore cash runway is not a concern.
  • Indian Oil is profitable, therefore cash runway is not a concern.
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (24.8%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.4x debt.
  • Indian Oil's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has been reduced over the past 5 years (99.3% vs 73.7% today).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 9.6x coverage).
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Cons

  • Indian Oil's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Indian Oil's level of debt (73.7%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.

management

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Pros

  • Sanjiv's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in India.
  • Sanjiv's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
  • The tenure for the Indian Oil management team is about average.
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Cons

  • The average tenure for the Indian Oil board of directors is less than 3 years, this suggests a new board.

past

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Pros

  • Indian Oil's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years, however the most recent earnings are below average.
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Cons

  • Indian Oil's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the 5-year average.
  • Indian Oil used its assets less efficiently than the IN Oil and Gas industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Indian Oil's use of capital deteriorated last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
  • Indian Oil has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • Indian Oil's 1-year earnings growth is negative, it can't be compared to the IN Oil and Gas industry average.

value

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Pros

  • Indian Oil is good value based on assets compared to the IN Oil and Gas industry average.
  • Indian Oil is good value based on expected growth next year.
  • Indian Oil is good value based on earnings compared to the IN Oil and Gas industry average.
  • Indian Oil is good value based on earnings compared to the India market.
  • NSEI:IOC is up 12.4% outperforming the Oil and Gas industry which returned 10.5% over the past month.
  • NSEI:IOC is up 12.4% outperforming the market in India which returned 8% over the past month.
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Cons

  • Indian Oil's share price is above the future cash flow value, it's not available at a moderate discount (< 20%).
  • Indian Oil's share price is above the future cash flow value, it's not available at a substantial discount (< 40%).
  • IOC underperformed the Oil and Gas industry which returned -4% over the past year.
  • IOC underperformed the Market in India which returned -14.5% over the past year.

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